The Oscar Grouch

Grumbling about the Awards I love to hate and hate to love.

Monday, December 13, 2004

Stream of Consciousness Golden Globe Reactions

Nothing too out there. And really, I'm not sure the Golden Globes matter all that much. There are always films and people ignored by The Globes that make it to The Oscars anyway. That said:

Good news (though not great) for Hotel Rwanda and Don Cheadle.

Not great news for The Phantom of the Opera or Ray, which got no major nominations outside of their Musical/Comedy ghetto (and only one Acting nomination each).

Finding Neverland gets a slight boost for its across the board support (except no Supporting noms).

Closer stops some of the hemorrhaging, though as I predicted back in September (and in June), I don’t see it making the final five at the big show (and if Julia Roberts can’t find support from these people, her Oscar hopes seem dashed).

Kinsey (and especially Liam Neeson) gets a much-needed slight boost, though its lack of directing, writing and supporting actor noms doesn’t bode too well.

Spanglish is dead (I can’t think of any English-language comedic film in recent years being nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars after failing to be nominated for a Golden Globe).

Collateral seems even less likely now than it did yesterday (and as with Roberts, if Tom Cruise can’t get nominated by his fans in the Hollywood Foreign Press, good luck with the Academy).

The Passion of The Christ couldn’t even get a Best Foreign Film nomination, nor could Bad Education, which isn’t good for either of them.

Million Dollar Baby bolsters its position as a pretty sure bet for Best Picture nomination, though its lack of Lead Actor and Screenplay nominations suggests it probably won’t win at The Globes (The Aviator, Closer and Finding Neverland all secured both writing and directing noms).

Eternal Sunshine gets to remind Oscar voters that it came out this year, though it’s likely to be overshadowed by Sideways.

The Aviator seems to secure its position as a lock for lots of nominations (though early front-runners such as Cold Mountain and The Talented Mr. Ripley have done better with The Globes than The Oscars).

And finally, Sideways. Though no sure thing when it was first released back in October, it’s now a lock (though hardly the front-runner) for the Lost in Translation slot at The Academy Awards this year (again, that’s bad news for Eternal Sunshine). The movie it most reminds me of right now (not in content, but in Awards season trajectory) is L.A. Confidential. Like Confidential, Sideways is sweeping every critics’ groups’ awards, though it still seems unlikely to win the top prize at The Academy Awards. So the real question is: Where’s this year’s Titanic? The Aviator seems like the closest comparison, though even with Leo onboard, it seems unlikely to become the phenomenon that Titanic was.

That’s where Fahrenheit 9/11 or The Passion of The Christ still could conceivably rear their ginormous heads.

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